Serie A(Italy)
Napoli vs Frosinone
· Referee: Not announced
Corners market
Combined expectation: 11.28 corners
Over 8.5
Medium79%@1.26
Over 9.5
CornersO9.569%Fair odds 1.45
Over 10.5
Medium57%@1.74
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO8.579%Fair odds 1.26
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO10.557%Fair odds 1.74
Cards market
Referee factor: 1x · Expected: 3.8
Over 3.5
Medium53%@1.90
Over 4.5
CardsO4.533%Fair odds 3.01
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCardsO1.589%Fair odds 1.12
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO3.553%Fair odds 1.90
Goals market
Expected: 1.94 goals
Over 1.5
Medium58%@1.73
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.531%Fair odds 3.26
Both teams to score
Low35%@2.89
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityGoalsO0.586%Fair odds 1.17
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointGoalsO1.558%Fair odds 1.73
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.
