Serie A(Italy)
Genoa vs Frosinone
· Referee: Antonio Rapuano
Corners market
Combined expectation: 10 corners
Over 8.5
Medium67%@1.50
Over 9.5
CornersO9.554%Fair odds 1.84
Over 10.5
Low42%@2.40
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO7.578%Fair odds 1.28
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO9.554%Fair odds 1.84
Cards market
Referee factor: 0.87x · Expected: 3.63
Over 3.5
Low49%@2.04
Over 4.5
CardsO4.530%Fair odds 3.34
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCardsO1.588%Fair odds 1.14
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO2.570%Fair odds 1.42
Goals market
Expected: 1.38 goals
Over 1.5
Low40%@2.49
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.516%Fair odds 6.18
Both teams to score
Low0%
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointGoalsO0.575%Fair odds 1.34
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.