La Liga(Spain)
Villarreal vs Levante
· Referee: Mateo Busquets Ferrer
Corners market
Combined expectation: 10.2 corners
Over 8.5
Medium69%@1.45
Over 9.5
CornersO9.557%Fair odds 1.76
Over 10.5
Low44%@2.26
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO7.580%Fair odds 1.25
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO9.557%Fair odds 1.76
Cards market
Referee factor: 0.8x · Expected: 2.96
Over 3.5
Low34%@2.91
Over 4.5
CardsO4.518%Fair odds 5.61
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCardsO1.579%Fair odds 1.26
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO2.557%Fair odds 1.76
Goals market
Expected: 0.33 goals
Over 1.5
Low4%@22.83
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.50%Fair odds 100+
Both teams to score
Low0%
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointNo line
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.
