Serie A(Italy)
Venezia vs Lazio
· Referee: Simone Sozza
Corners market
Combined expectation: 7.87 corners
Over 8.5
Low39%@2.57
Over 9.5
CornersO9.527%Fair odds 3.74
Over 10.5
Low17%@5.83
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO5.580%Fair odds 1.26
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO7.553%Fair odds 1.89
Cards market
Referee factor: 0.65x · Expected: 3.17
Over 3.5
Low39%@2.56
Over 4.5
CardsO4.521%Fair odds 4.67
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCardsO1.582%Fair odds 1.21
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO2.561%Fair odds 1.63
Goals market
Expected: 0.88 goals
Over 1.5
Low22%@4.54
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.56%Fair odds 16.78
Both teams to score
Low6%@18.02
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointGoalsO0.559%Fair odds 1.71
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.