Serie A(Italy)
Venezia vs Fiorentina
· Referee: Francesco Fourneau
Corners market
Combined expectation: 7.66 corners
Over 8.5
Low36%@2.78
Over 9.5
CornersO9.524%Fair odds 4.13
Over 10.5
Low15%@6.58
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO5.578%Fair odds 1.29
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO6.564%Fair odds 1.55
Cards market
Referee factor: 1.09x · Expected: 4.36
Over 3.5
Medium63%@1.58
Over 4.5
CardsO4.544%Fair odds 2.27
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCardsO2.581%Fair odds 1.23
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO3.563%Fair odds 1.58
Goals market
Expected: 0 goals
Over 1.5
Low0%
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.50%
Both teams to score
Low0%
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointNo line
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.
