La Liga(Spain)
Valencia vs Villarreal
· Referee: Not announced
Corners market
Combined expectation: 8.92 corners
Over 8.5
Medium53%@1.87
Over 9.5
CornersO9.540%Fair odds 2.49
Over 10.5
Low28%@3.51
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO6.579%Fair odds 1.27
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO8.553%Fair odds 1.87
Cards market
Referee factor: 1x · Expected: 4.06
Over 3.5
Medium58%@1.73
Over 4.5
CardsO4.538%Fair odds 2.61
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCardsO2.577%Fair odds 1.30
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO3.558%Fair odds 1.73
Goals market
Expected: 2.78 goals
Over 1.5
Medium77%@1.31
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.553%Fair odds 1.90
Both teams to score
Low48%@2.06
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityGoalsO1.577%Fair odds 1.31
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointGoalsO2.553%Fair odds 1.90
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.