La Liga(Spain)
Valencia vs Real Sociedad
· Referee: José Luis Munuera Montero
Corners market
Combined expectation: 9.5 corners
Over 8.5
Medium61%@1.64
Over 9.5
CornersO9.548%Fair odds 2.09
Over 10.5
Low35%@2.82
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO6.584%Fair odds 1.20
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO8.561%Fair odds 1.64
Cards market
Referee factor: 0.6x · Expected: 2.8
Over 3.5
Low31%@3.25
Over 4.5
CardsO4.515%Fair odds 6.57
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCardsO1.577%Fair odds 1.30
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO2.553%Fair odds 1.89
Goals market
Expected: 0.46 goals
Over 1.5
Low8%@12.77
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.51%Fair odds 86.96
Both teams to score
Low0%
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointNo line
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.