La Liga(Spain)
Valencia vs Athletic Club
· Referee: Not announced
Corners market
Combined expectation: 9 corners
Over 8.5
Medium54%@1.84
Over 9.5
CornersO9.541%Fair odds 2.42
Over 10.5
Low29%@3.40
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO6.579%Fair odds 1.26
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO8.554%Fair odds 1.84
Cards market
Referee factor: 1x · Expected: 4.06
Over 3.5
Medium58%@1.73
Over 4.5
CardsO4.538%Fair odds 2.61
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCardsO2.577%Fair odds 1.30
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO3.558%Fair odds 1.73
Goals market
Expected: 1.43 goals
Over 1.5
Low42%@2.39
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.517%Fair odds 5.75
Both teams to score
Low23%@4.34
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityGoalsO0.576%Fair odds 1.31
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointGoalsO0.576%Fair odds 1.31
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.