Serie A(Italy)
Udinese vs Cagliari
· Referee: Gianluca Manganiello
Corners market
Combined expectation: 9.25 corners
Over 8.5
Medium58%@1.73
Over 9.5
CornersO9.545%Fair odds 2.24
Over 10.5
Low32%@3.09
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO6.582%Fair odds 1.23
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO8.558%Fair odds 1.73
Cards market
Referee factor: 0.87x · Expected: 2.28
Over 3.5
Low20%@5.09
Over 4.5
CardsO4.58%Fair odds 12.29
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO1.566%Fair odds 1.50
Goals market
Expected: 0.5 goals
Over 1.5
Low9%@11.09
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.51%Fair odds 69.44
Both teams to score
Low3%@30.21
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointNo line
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.
