Ligue 1(France)
Toulouse vs Lyon
· Referee: Guillaume Paradis
Corners market
Combined expectation: 9.5 corners
Over 8.5
Medium61%@1.64
Over 9.5
CornersO9.548%Fair odds 2.09
Over 10.5
Low35%@2.82
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO6.584%Fair odds 1.20
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO8.561%Fair odds 1.64
Cards market
Referee factor: 1x · Expected: 3.9
Over 3.5
Medium55%@1.83
Over 4.5
CardsO4.535%Fair odds 2.84
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCardsO1.590%Fair odds 1.11
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO3.555%Fair odds 1.83
Goals market
Expected: 2.6 goals
Over 1.5
Medium73%@1.37
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.548%Fair odds 2.08
Both teams to score
Medium52%@1.91
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityGoalsO0.593%Fair odds 1.08
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointGoalsO1.573%Fair odds 1.37
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.