Ligue 1(France)
Strasbourg vs Monaco
· Referee: Eric Wattellier
Corners market
Combined expectation: 9.33 corners
Over 8.5
Medium59%@1.70
Over 9.5
CornersO9.546%Fair odds 2.19
Over 10.5
Low33%@3.00
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO6.582%Fair odds 1.22
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO8.559%Fair odds 1.70
Cards market
Referee factor: 1.15x · Expected: 4.02
Over 3.5
Medium57%@1.75
Over 4.5
CardsO4.538%Fair odds 2.67
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCardsO2.576%Fair odds 1.31
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO3.557%Fair odds 1.75
Goals market
Expected: 0.42 goals
Over 1.5
Low7%@14.93
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.51%Fair odds 100+
Both teams to score
Low4%@27.62
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointNo line
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.
