La Liga(Spain)
Sevilla vs Valencia
· Referee: Mateo Busquets Ferrer
Corners market
Combined expectation: 6.75 corners
Over 8.5
Low24%@4.19
Over 9.5
CornersO9.515%Fair odds 6.89
Over 10.5
Low8%@12.24
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO6.551%Fair odds 1.95
Cards market
Referee factor: 0.9x · Expected: 4.84
Over 3.5
Medium71%@1.40
Over 4.5
CardsO4.553%Fair odds 1.88
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCardsO2.586%Fair odds 1.16
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO4.553%Fair odds 1.88
Goals market
Expected: 0.68 goals
Over 1.5
Low15%@6.72
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.53%Fair odds 31.45
Both teams to score
Low6%@15.80
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointNo line
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.
