La Liga(Spain)
Sevilla vs Barcelona
· Referee: Juan Martinez Munuera
Corners market
Combined expectation: 9.17 corners
Over 8.5
Medium57%@1.77
Over 9.5
CornersO9.544%Fair odds 2.30
Over 10.5
Low31%@3.18
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO6.581%Fair odds 1.24
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO8.557%Fair odds 1.77
Cards market
Referee factor: 0.6x · Expected: 2.6
Over 3.5
Low26%@3.79
Over 4.5
CardsO4.512%Fair odds 8.16
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO1.573%Fair odds 1.37
Goals market
Expected: 1.28 goals
Over 1.5
Low37%@2.73
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.514%Fair odds 7.23
Both teams to score
Low12%@8.31
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointGoalsO0.572%Fair odds 1.39
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.