La Liga(Spain)
Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo
· Referee: Victor Garcia Verdura
Corners market
Combined expectation: 8.67 corners
Over 8.5
Medium50%@2.00
Over 9.5
CornersO9.537%Fair odds 2.71
Over 10.5
Low26%@3.91
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO6.576%Fair odds 1.31
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO8.550%Fair odds 2.00
Cards market
Referee factor: 0.6x · Expected: 2.9
Over 3.5
Low33%@3.03
Over 4.5
CardsO4.517%Fair odds 5.95
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCardsO1.579%Fair odds 1.27
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO2.555%Fair odds 1.81
Goals market
Expected: 0 goals
Over 1.5
Low0%
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.50%
Both teams to score
Low0%
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointNo line
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.