La Liga(Spain)
Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid
· Referee: Juan Martinez Munuera
Corners market
Combined expectation: 9.7 corners
Over 8.5
Medium63%@1.58
Over 9.5
CornersO9.550%Fair odds 1.98
Over 10.5
Low38%@2.64
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO7.575%Fair odds 1.33
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO9.550%Fair odds 1.98
Cards market
Referee factor: 0.6x · Expected: 2.94
Over 3.5
Low34%@2.95
Over 4.5
CardsO4.517%Fair odds 5.72
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCardsO1.579%Fair odds 1.26
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO2.556%Fair odds 1.78
Goals market
Expected: 0.47 goals
Over 1.5
Low8%@12.32
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.51%Fair odds 81.97
Both teams to score
Low3%@33.33
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointNo line
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.