La Liga(Spain)Highlight · Corners
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano
· Referee: Victor Garcia Verdura
Corners market
Combined expectation: 12.25 corners
Over 8.5
High86%@1.16
Over 9.5
CornersO9.578%Fair odds 1.28
Over 10.5
Medium68%@1.47
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO9.578%Fair odds 1.28
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO11.557%Fair odds 1.76
Cards market
Referee factor: 0.8x · Expected: 4.1
Over 3.5
Medium59%@1.71
Over 4.5
CardsO4.539%Fair odds 2.56
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCardsO2.578%Fair odds 1.29
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO3.559%Fair odds 1.71
Goals market
Expected: 3.31 goals
Over 1.5
High84%@1.19
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.564%Fair odds 1.56
Both teams to score
Low12%@8.62
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityGoalsO1.584%Fair odds 1.19
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointGoalsO2.564%Fair odds 1.56
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.
