La Liga(Spain)
Real Madrid vs Malaga
· Referee: Juan Martinez Munuera
Corners market
Combined expectation: 9.6 corners
Over 8.5
Medium62%@1.61
Over 9.5
CornersO9.549%Fair odds 2.04
Over 10.5
Low37%@2.72
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO6.584%Fair odds 1.19
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO8.562%Fair odds 1.61
Cards market
Referee factor: 0.8x · Expected: 4
Over 3.5
Medium57%@1.77
Over 4.5
CardsO4.537%Fair odds 2.69
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCardsO2.576%Fair odds 1.31
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO3.557%Fair odds 1.77
Goals market
Expected: 2.55 goals
Over 1.5
Medium72%@1.38
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.547%Fair odds 2.13
Both teams to score
Medium51%@1.96
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityGoalsO0.592%Fair odds 1.08
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointGoalsO1.572%Fair odds 1.38
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.