La Liga(Spain)
Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol
· Referee: Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos
Corners market
Combined expectation: 9.4 corners
Over 8.5
Medium60%@1.68
Over 9.5
CornersO9.547%Fair odds 2.15
Over 10.5
Low34%@2.92
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO6.583%Fair odds 1.21
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO8.560%Fair odds 1.68
Cards market
Referee factor: 0.93x · Expected: 4.37
Over 3.5
Medium64%@1.57
Over 4.5
CardsO4.544%Fair odds 2.26
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCardsO2.581%Fair odds 1.23
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO3.564%Fair odds 1.57
Goals market
Expected: 0.54 goals
Over 1.5
Low10%@9.75
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.52%Fair odds 56.82
Both teams to score
Low6%@17.99
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointNo line
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.
