La Liga(Spain)
Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club
· Referee: Not announced
Corners market
Combined expectation: 10.54 corners
Over 8.5
Medium72%@1.38
Over 9.5
CornersO9.561%Fair odds 1.65
Over 10.5
Low48%@2.07
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO7.582%Fair odds 1.21
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO9.561%Fair odds 1.65
Cards market
Referee factor: 1x · Expected: 4.27
Over 3.5
Medium62%@1.62
Over 4.5
CardsO4.542%Fair odds 2.36
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCardsO2.580%Fair odds 1.25
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO3.562%Fair odds 1.62
Goals market
Expected: 1.96 goals
Over 1.5
Medium58%@1.71
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.531%Fair odds 3.20
Both teams to score
Low32%@3.08
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityGoalsO0.586%Fair odds 1.16
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointGoalsO1.558%Fair odds 1.71
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.