Serie A(Italy)
Parma vs Genoa
· Referee: Maurizio Mariani
Corners market
Combined expectation: 10.37 corners
Over 8.5
Medium71%@1.41
Over 9.5
CornersO9.559%Fair odds 1.70
Over 10.5
Low46%@2.16
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO7.581%Fair odds 1.23
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO9.559%Fair odds 1.70
Cards market
Referee factor: 0.87x · Expected: 2.94
Over 3.5
Low34%@2.95
Over 4.5
CardsO4.517%Fair odds 5.72
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCardsO1.579%Fair odds 1.26
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO2.556%Fair odds 1.78
Goals market
Expected: 0.05 goals
Over 1.5
Low0%@100+
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.50%
Both teams to score
Low0%
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointNo line
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.