Serie A(Italy)
Napoli vs Bologna
· Referee: Kevin Bonacina
Corners market
Combined expectation: 11.34 corners
Over 8.5
High80%@1.26
Over 9.5
CornersO9.570%Fair odds 1.44
Over 10.5
Medium58%@1.72
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO8.580%Fair odds 1.26
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO10.558%Fair odds 1.72
Cards market
Referee factor: 1x · Expected: 3.34
Over 3.5
Low43%@2.33
Over 4.5
CardsO4.524%Fair odds 4.09
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCardsO1.585%Fair odds 1.18
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO2.565%Fair odds 1.54
Goals market
Expected: 0.1 goals
Over 1.5
Low0%@100+
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.50%Fair odds 100+
Both teams to score
Low0%
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointNo line
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.
