Serie A(Italy)
Monza vs Sassuolo
· Referee: Daniele Perenzoni
Corners market
Combined expectation: 10.21 corners
Over 8.5
Medium69%@1.45
Over 9.5
CornersO9.557%Fair odds 1.76
Over 10.5
Low44%@2.26
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO7.580%Fair odds 1.25
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO9.557%Fair odds 1.76
Cards market
Referee factor: 0.43x · Expected: 1.17
Over 3.5
Low3%@32.05
Over 4.5
CardsO4.51%Fair odds 100+
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointNo line
Goals market
Expected: 1.1 goals
Over 1.5
Low30%@3.32
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.510%Fair odds 10.04
Both teams to score
Low18%@5.63
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointGoalsO0.567%Fair odds 1.50
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.
