Ligue 1(France)
Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain
· Referee: Francois Letexier
Corners market
Combined expectation: 7.75 corners
Over 8.5
Low37%@2.68
Over 9.5
CornersO9.525%Fair odds 3.95
Over 10.5
Low16%@6.25
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO5.578%Fair odds 1.27
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO7.551%Fair odds 1.95
Cards market
Referee factor: 1x · Expected: 3.38
Over 3.5
Low44%@2.29
Over 4.5
CardsO4.525%Fair odds 3.97
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCardsO1.585%Fair odds 1.18
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO2.566%Fair odds 1.52
Goals market
Expected: 1.95 goals
Over 1.5
Medium58%@1.72
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.531%Fair odds 3.23
Both teams to score
Low35%@2.88
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityGoalsO0.586%Fair odds 1.17
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointGoalsO1.558%Fair odds 1.72
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.