Premier League(England)
Manchester United vs Manchester City
· Referee: Michael Oliver
Corners market
Combined expectation: 11.5 corners
Over 8.5
High81%@1.24
Over 9.5
CornersO9.571%Fair odds 1.41
Over 10.5
Medium60%@1.67
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointNo line
Cards market
Referee factor: 0.79x · Expected: 2.77
Over 3.5
Low30%@3.32
Over 4.5
CardsO4.515%Fair odds 6.77
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointNo line
Goals market
Expected: 0.07 goals
Over 1.5
Low0%@100+
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.50%Fair odds 100+
Both teams to score
Low0%
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointNo line
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.
