La Liga(Spain)
Malaga vs Real Sociedad
· Referee: Not announced
Corners market
Combined expectation: 10.38 corners
Over 8.5
Medium71%@1.41
Over 9.5
CornersO9.559%Fair odds 1.70
Over 10.5
Low46%@2.15
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO7.581%Fair odds 1.23
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO9.559%Fair odds 1.70
Cards market
Referee factor: 1x · Expected: 4.89
Over 3.5
Medium72%@1.39
Over 4.5
CardsO4.554%Fair odds 1.85
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCardsO2.587%Fair odds 1.16
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO4.554%Fair odds 1.85
Goals market
Expected: 2.11 goals
Over 1.5
Medium62%@1.61
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.535%Fair odds 2.83
Both teams to score
Low31%@3.24
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityGoalsO0.588%Fair odds 1.14
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointGoalsO1.562%Fair odds 1.61
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.