Ligue 1(France)
Lyon vs Rennes
· Referee: Mathieu Vernice
Corners market
Combined expectation: 11.5 corners
Over 8.5
High81%@1.24
Over 9.5
CornersO9.571%Fair odds 1.41
Over 10.5
Medium60%@1.67
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO8.581%Fair odds 1.24
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO10.560%Fair odds 1.67
Cards market
Referee factor: 0.51x · Expected: 1.85
Over 3.5
Low12%@8.55
Over 4.5
CardsO4.54%Fair odds 24.94
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO1.555%Fair odds 1.81
Goals market
Expected: 0.39 goals
Over 1.5
Low6%@16.98
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.51%Fair odds 100+
Both teams to score
Low3%@32.36
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointNo line
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.