Ligue 1(France)
Lille vs Estac Troyes
· Referee: Romain Lissorgue
Corners market
Combined expectation: 8.33 corners
Over 8.5
Low45%@2.21
Over 9.5
CornersO9.533%Fair odds 3.08
Over 10.5
Low22%@4.58
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO5.584%Fair odds 1.19
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO7.559%Fair odds 1.69
Cards market
Referee factor: 0.9x · Expected: 1.94
Over 3.5
Low13%@7.56
Over 4.5
CardsO4.55%Fair odds 21.10
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO1.558%Fair odds 1.73
Goals market
Expected: 0.5 goals
Over 1.5
Low9%@11.09
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.51%Fair odds 69.44
Both teams to score
Low5%@21.51
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointNo line
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.