Ligue 1(France)
Le Mans vs Lorient
· Referee: Geoffrey Kubler
Corners market
Combined expectation: 9.75 corners
Over 8.5
Medium64%@1.57
Over 9.5
CornersO9.551%Fair odds 1.96
Over 10.5
Low39%@2.59
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO7.576%Fair odds 1.32
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO9.551%Fair odds 1.96
Cards market
Referee factor: 0.51x · Expected: 1.59
Over 3.5
Low8%@12.92
Over 4.5
CardsO4.52%Fair odds 43.29
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointNo line
Goals market
Expected: 0.17 goals
Over 1.5
Low1%@77.52
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.50%Fair odds 100+
Both teams to score
Low0%
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointNo line
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.