Ligue 1(France)
Le Mans vs Lens
· Referee: Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj
Corners market
Combined expectation: 10 corners
Over 8.5
Medium67%@1.50
Over 9.5
CornersO9.554%Fair odds 1.84
Over 10.5
Low42%@2.40
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO7.578%Fair odds 1.28
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO9.554%Fair odds 1.84
Cards market
Referee factor: 1.28x · Expected: 5.34
Over 3.5
Medium78%@1.28
Over 4.5
CardsO4.562%Fair odds 1.62
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCardsO3.578%Fair odds 1.28
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO4.562%Fair odds 1.62
Goals market
Expected: 0.54 goals
Over 1.5
Low10%@9.75
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.52%Fair odds 56.82
Both teams to score
Low5%@21.93
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointNo line
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.