La Liga(Spain)
Getafe vs Malaga
· Referee: Javier Alberola Rojas
Corners market
Combined expectation: 9.3 corners
Over 8.5
Medium58%@1.71
Over 9.5
CornersO9.545%Fair odds 2.21
Over 10.5
Low33%@3.03
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO6.582%Fair odds 1.22
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO8.558%Fair odds 1.71
Cards market
Referee factor: 1x · Expected: 5.2
Over 3.5
Medium76%@1.31
Over 4.5
CardsO4.559%Fair odds 1.68
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCardsO3.576%Fair odds 1.31
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO4.559%Fair odds 1.68
Goals market
Expected: 0.82 goals
Over 1.5
Low20%@5.04
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.55%Fair odds 19.88
Both teams to score
Low3%@34.84
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointGoalsO0.556%Fair odds 1.79
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.
