Serie A(Italy)
Genoa vs Venezia
· Referee: Not announced
Corners market
Combined expectation: 7.9 corners
Over 8.5
Low39%@2.54
Over 9.5
CornersO9.527%Fair odds 3.69
Over 10.5
Low17%@5.74
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO5.580%Fair odds 1.25
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO7.553%Fair odds 1.88
Cards market
Referee factor: 1x · Expected: 4.4
Over 3.5
Medium64%@1.56
Over 4.5
CardsO4.545%Fair odds 2.23
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCardsO2.581%Fair odds 1.23
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO3.564%Fair odds 1.56
Goals market
Expected: 2.33 goals
Over 1.5
Medium68%@1.48
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.541%Fair odds 2.43
Both teams to score
Low47%@2.11
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityGoalsO0.590%Fair odds 1.11
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointGoalsO1.568%Fair odds 1.48
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.
