Serie A(Italy)
Genoa vs Napoli
· Referee: Marco Di Bello
Corners market
Combined expectation: 9.9 corners
Over 8.5
Medium66%@1.52
Over 9.5
CornersO9.553%Fair odds 1.89
Over 10.5
Low40%@2.47
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO7.577%Fair odds 1.30
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO9.553%Fair odds 1.89
Cards market
Referee factor: 1x · Expected: 4.6
Over 3.5
Medium67%@1.48
Over 4.5
CardsO4.549%Fair odds 2.05
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCardsO2.584%Fair odds 1.19
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO3.567%Fair odds 1.48
Goals market
Expected: 2.6 goals
Over 1.5
Medium73%@1.37
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.548%Fair odds 2.08
Both teams to score
Medium52%@1.91
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityGoalsO0.593%Fair odds 1.08
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointGoalsO1.573%Fair odds 1.37
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.