Serie A(Italy)
Genoa vs Fiorentina
· Referee: Not announced
Corners market
Combined expectation: 8.46 corners
Over 8.5
Low47%@2.12
Over 9.5
CornersO9.534%Fair odds 2.93
Over 10.5
Low23%@4.31
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO5.585%Fair odds 1.18
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO7.561%Fair odds 1.64
Cards market
Referee factor: 1x · Expected: 3.7
Over 3.5
Medium51%@1.98
Over 4.5
CardsO4.531%Fair odds 3.20
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCardsO1.588%Fair odds 1.13
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO3.551%Fair odds 1.98
Goals market
Expected: 3.5 goals
Over 1.5
High86%@1.16
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.568%Fair odds 1.47
Both teams to score
Medium62%@1.61
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityGoalsO1.586%Fair odds 1.16
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointGoalsO2.568%Fair odds 1.47
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.
