Bundesliga(Germany)
FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen
· Referee: Not announced
Corners market
Combined expectation: 10.7 corners
Over 8.5
Medium74%@1.35
Over 9.5
CornersO9.563%Fair odds 1.60
Over 10.5
Medium50%@1.98
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO7.584%Fair odds 1.20
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO10.550%Fair odds 1.98
Cards market
Referee factor: 1x · Expected: 4.5
Over 3.5
Medium66%@1.52
Over 4.5
CardsO4.547%Fair odds 2.14
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCardsO2.583%Fair odds 1.21
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO3.566%Fair odds 1.52
Goals market
Expected: 2.63 goals
Over 1.5
Medium74%@1.35
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.549%Fair odds 2.04
Both teams to score
Low44%@2.27
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityGoalsO0.593%Fair odds 1.08
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointGoalsO1.574%Fair odds 1.35
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.
