Serie A(Italy)
Fiorentina vs Napoli
· Referee: Daniele Doveri
Corners market
Combined expectation: 9.5 corners
Over 8.5
Medium61%@1.64
Over 9.5
CornersO9.548%Fair odds 2.09
Over 10.5
Low35%@2.82
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO6.584%Fair odds 1.20
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO8.561%Fair odds 1.64
Cards market
Referee factor: 0.22x · Expected: 0.58
Over 3.5
Low0%@100+
Over 4.5
CardsO4.50%Fair odds 100+
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointNo line
Goals market
Expected: 1.03 goals
Over 1.5
Low28%@3.63
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.59%Fair odds 11.64
Both teams to score
Low9%@11.53
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointGoalsO0.564%Fair odds 1.56
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.