La Liga(Spain)
Espanyol vs Sevilla
· Referee: Miguel Sesma Espinosa
Corners market
Combined expectation: 6.84 corners
Over 8.5
Low25%@4.00
Over 9.5
CornersO9.515%Fair odds 6.51
Over 10.5
Low9%@11.42
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO6.553%Fair odds 1.90
Cards market
Referee factor: 0.9x · Expected: 5.4
Over 3.5
Medium79%@1.27
Over 4.5
CardsO4.563%Fair odds 1.60
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCardsO3.579%Fair odds 1.27
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO4.563%Fair odds 1.60
Goals market
Expected: 0.86 goals
Over 1.5
Low21%@4.70
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.56%Fair odds 17.73
Both teams to score
Low12%@8.16
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointGoalsO0.558%Fair odds 1.73
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.
