La Liga(Spain)
Espanyol vs Elche
· Referee: Jon Ander Gonzalez Esteban
Corners market
Combined expectation: 7.75 corners
Over 8.5
Low37%@2.68
Over 9.5
CornersO9.525%Fair odds 3.95
Over 10.5
Low16%@6.25
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO5.578%Fair odds 1.27
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO7.551%Fair odds 1.95
Cards market
Referee factor: 0.93x · Expected: 4.58
Over 3.5
Medium67%@1.49
Over 4.5
CardsO4.548%Fair odds 2.07
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCardsO2.584%Fair odds 1.20
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO3.567%Fair odds 1.49
Goals market
Expected: 0.86 goals
Over 1.5
Low21%@4.70
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.56%Fair odds 17.73
Both teams to score
Low10%@10.40
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointGoalsO0.558%Fair odds 1.73
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.
