La Liga(Spain)
Elche vs Real Sociedad
· Referee: Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias
Corners market
Combined expectation: 10 corners
Over 8.5
Medium67%@1.50
Over 9.5
CornersO9.554%Fair odds 1.84
Over 10.5
Low42%@2.40
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO7.578%Fair odds 1.28
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO9.554%Fair odds 1.84
Cards market
Referee factor: 0.7x · Expected: 2.95
Over 3.5
Low34%@2.93
Over 4.5
CardsO4.518%Fair odds 5.67
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCardsO1.579%Fair odds 1.26
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO2.557%Fair odds 1.77
Goals market
Expected: 0.29 goals
Over 1.5
Low3%@28.82
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.50%Fair odds 100+
Both teams to score
Low0%
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointNo line
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.