La Liga(Spain)
Elche vs Real Madrid
· Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano
Corners market
Combined expectation: 11.4 corners
Over 8.5
High80%@1.25
Over 9.5
CornersO9.570%Fair odds 1.43
Over 10.5
Medium59%@1.70
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO8.580%Fair odds 1.25
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO10.559%Fair odds 1.70
Cards market
Referee factor: 0.9x · Expected: 3.78
Over 3.5
Medium52%@1.91
Over 4.5
CardsO4.533%Fair odds 3.05
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCardsO1.589%Fair odds 1.12
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO3.552%Fair odds 1.91
Goals market
Expected: 0.59 goals
Over 1.5
Low12%@8.43
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.52%Fair odds 45.25
Both teams to score
Low5%@20.66
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointNo line
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.