Premier League(England)
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle
· Referee: Not announced
Corners market
Combined expectation: 8.27 corners
Over 8.5
Low45%@2.25
Over 9.5
CornersO9.532%Fair odds 3.15
Over 10.5
Low21%@4.72
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO5.583%Fair odds 1.20
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO7.558%Fair odds 1.71
Cards market
Referee factor: 1x · Expected: 3.9
Over 3.5
Medium55%@1.83
Over 4.5
CardsO4.535%Fair odds 2.84
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCardsO1.590%Fair odds 1.11
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO3.555%Fair odds 1.83
Goals market
Expected: 3.41 goals
Over 1.5
High85%@1.17
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.566%Fair odds 1.51
Both teams to score
Medium67%@1.50
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityGoalsO1.585%Fair odds 1.17
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointGoalsO2.566%Fair odds 1.51
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.
