La Liga(Spain)
Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander
· Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea
Corners market
Combined expectation: 11.5 corners
Over 8.5
High81%@1.24
Over 9.5
CornersO9.571%Fair odds 1.41
Over 10.5
Medium60%@1.67
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO8.581%Fair odds 1.24
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO10.560%Fair odds 1.67
Cards market
Referee factor: 1x · Expected: 4.66
Over 3.5
Medium68%@1.46
Over 4.5
CardsO4.550%Fair odds 2.01
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCardsO2.584%Fair odds 1.19
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO3.568%Fair odds 1.46
Goals market
Expected: 0.94 goals
Over 1.5
Low24%@4.13
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.57%Fair odds 14.37
Both teams to score
Low14%@7.36
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointGoalsO0.561%Fair odds 1.64
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.
