La Liga(Spain)
Celta Vigo vs Alaves
· Referee: Not announced
Corners market
Combined expectation: 8.19 corners
Over 8.5
Low43%@2.30
Over 9.5
CornersO9.531%Fair odds 3.26
Over 10.5
Low20%@4.92
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO5.583%Fair odds 1.21
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO7.557%Fair odds 1.74
Cards market
Referee factor: 1x · Expected: 4.5
Over 3.5
Medium66%@1.52
Over 4.5
CardsO4.547%Fair odds 2.14
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCardsO2.583%Fair odds 1.21
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO3.566%Fair odds 1.52
Goals market
Expected: 2.29 goals
Over 1.5
Medium67%@1.50
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.540%Fair odds 2.49
Both teams to score
Low37%@2.70
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityGoalsO0.590%Fair odds 1.11
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointGoalsO1.567%Fair odds 1.50
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.