Premier League(England)
Brighton vs Arsenal
· Referee: D. England
Corners market
Combined expectation: 9.5 corners
Over 8.5
Medium61%@1.64
Over 9.5
CornersO9.548%Fair odds 2.09
Over 10.5
Low35%@2.82
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointNo line
Cards market
Referee factor: 1x · Expected: 5.33
Over 3.5
Medium78%@1.28
Over 4.5
CardsO4.562%Fair odds 1.62
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointNo line
Goals market
Expected: 1.21 goals
Over 1.5
Low34%@2.93
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.512%Fair odds 8.15
Both teams to score
Low9%@11.43
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointNo line
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.
