Bundesliga(Germany)
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05
· Referee: Robert Hartmann
Corners market
Combined expectation: 11.5 corners
Over 8.5
High81%@1.24
Over 9.5
CornersO9.571%Fair odds 1.41
Over 10.5
Medium60%@1.67
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO8.581%Fair odds 1.24
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO10.560%Fair odds 1.67
Cards market
Referee factor: 1.28x · Expected: 4.26
Over 3.5
Medium62%@1.62
Over 4.5
CardsO4.542%Fair odds 2.37
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCardsO2.580%Fair odds 1.25
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO3.562%Fair odds 1.62
Goals market
Expected: 1.31 goals
Over 1.5
Low38%@2.65
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.515%Fair odds 6.89
Both teams to score
Low0%
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointGoalsO0.573%Fair odds 1.37
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.
