Bundesliga(Germany)
Bayern München vs Union Berlin
· Referee: Benjamin Brand
Corners market
Combined expectation: 10.5 corners
Over 8.5
Medium72%@1.39
Over 9.5
CornersO9.560%Fair odds 1.66
Over 10.5
Low48%@2.09
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO7.582%Fair odds 1.22
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO9.560%Fair odds 1.66
Cards market
Referee factor: 0.26x · Expected: 1.04
Over 3.5
Low2%@46.51
Over 4.5
CardsO4.50%Fair odds 100+
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointNo line
Goals market
Expected: 1.65 goals
Over 1.5
Low49%@2.04
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.523%Fair odds 4.36
Both teams to score
Low0%
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityGoalsO0.581%Fair odds 1.24
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointGoalsO0.581%Fair odds 1.24
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.
