Ligue 1(France)
Auxerre vs Nice
· Referee: François Letexier
Corners market
Combined expectation: 11.17 corners
Over 8.5
Medium78%@1.28
Over 9.5
CornersO9.568%Fair odds 1.48
Over 10.5
Medium56%@1.79
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO8.578%Fair odds 1.28
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO10.556%Fair odds 1.79
Cards market
Referee factor: 0.51x · Expected: 1.53
Over 3.5
Low7%@14.39
Over 4.5
CardsO4.52%Fair odds 50.00
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointNo line
Goals market
Expected: 0.29 goals
Over 1.5
Low3%@28.82
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.50%Fair odds 100+
Both teams to score
Low0%
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointNo line
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.