La Liga(Spain)
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid
· Referee: Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias
Corners market
Combined expectation: 10.41 corners
Over 8.5
Medium71%@1.41
Over 9.5
CornersO9.559%Fair odds 1.69
Over 10.5
Low47%@2.14
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO7.581%Fair odds 1.23
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO9.559%Fair odds 1.69
Cards market
Referee factor: 0.87x · Expected: 3.62
Over 3.5
Low49%@2.04
Over 4.5
CardsO4.530%Fair odds 3.36
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCardsO1.588%Fair odds 1.14
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO2.570%Fair odds 1.43
Goals market
Expected: 1 goals
Over 1.5
Low26%@3.79
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.58%Fair odds 12.45
Both teams to score
Low10%@10.33
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointGoalsO0.563%Fair odds 1.58
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.