La Liga(Spain)
Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna
· Referee: Francisco Hernandez Maeso
Corners market
Combined expectation: 8.1 corners
Over 8.5
Low42%@2.37
Over 9.5
CornersO9.530%Fair odds 3.38
Over 10.5
Low19%@5.15
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO5.582%Fair odds 1.22
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO7.556%Fair odds 1.78
Cards market
Referee factor: 0.4x · Expected: 1.68
Over 3.5
Low9%@11.09
Over 4.5
CardsO4.53%Fair odds 35.21
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO1.550%Fair odds 2.00
Goals market
Expected: 1.09 goals
Over 1.5
Low30%@3.36
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.510%Fair odds 10.25
Both teams to score
Low12%@8.67
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointGoalsO0.566%Fair odds 1.51
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.