La Liga(Spain)
Athletic Club vs Elche
· Referee: Manuel Jesus Orellana Cid
Corners market
Combined expectation: 11.5 corners
Over 8.5
High81%@1.24
Over 9.5
CornersO9.571%Fair odds 1.41
Over 10.5
Medium60%@1.67
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO8.581%Fair odds 1.24
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO10.560%Fair odds 1.67
Cards market
Referee factor: 1.4x · Expected: 5.07
Over 3.5
Medium74%@1.34
Over 4.5
CardsO4.557%Fair odds 1.75
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCardsO2.588%Fair odds 1.13
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO4.557%Fair odds 1.75
Goals market
Expected: 1.3 goals
Over 1.5
Low37%@2.68
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.514%Fair odds 7.00
Both teams to score
Low19%@5.21
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointGoalsO0.573%Fair odds 1.37
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.