La Liga(Spain)
Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid
· Referee: José Luis Munuera Montero
Corners market
Combined expectation: 10.33 corners
Over 8.5
Medium70%@1.42
Over 9.5
CornersO9.558%Fair odds 1.72
Over 10.5
Low46%@2.18
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO7.581%Fair odds 1.24
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO9.558%Fair odds 1.72
Cards market
Referee factor: 0.6x · Expected: 2.9
Over 3.5
Low33%@3.03
Over 4.5
CardsO4.517%Fair odds 5.95
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCardsO1.579%Fair odds 1.27
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO2.555%Fair odds 1.81
Goals market
Expected: 0.79 goals
Over 1.5
Low19%@5.33
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.55%Fair odds 21.74
Both teams to score
Low5%@20.88
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointGoalsO0.555%Fair odds 1.83
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.